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According to industry insiders, the depletion of the rare earth industry to the high-end development, the rare earth enterprise to resolve the overcapacity crisis lies in the adjustment of structure, transfer mode, promotion, to take the high-end route, develop and produce high value-added, high-profit functional new materials .
De-capacity path upgrade
Production quotas, rare earth reserves, and cracking of illegal rare earth mining have always been the three major paths for the rare earth industry to de-capacity. Especially since the second half of 2016, the three major capacity-removing routes have begun to upgrade.
First, production quotas are further concentrated. On April 13, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the first batch of total production of rare earths, with the total amount remaining at around 100,000 tons. Ren Zhiqiang, a non-ferrous analyst of Industrial Securities, said that compared with 2016, some provinces and regions have all quotas allocated directly to the corresponding six major rare earth groups. All mining quotas in relevant provinces and regions can only be obtained by the corresponding rare earth groups. The concentration of rare earth indicators is the trend of the times, and the state will further tighten its management over the industry.
Second, the amount of reserves is relatively small but high. In December 2016, January and March 2017, a total of three rounds of storage and storage, each time the amount of storage is not large, and the total collection and storage amounted to more than 6,400 tons. Ren Zhiqiang said that the previous two purchases and acquisitions were large, and the interval was long, which often led to the short-term rise in rare earth prices and then returned to calm, with little effect. The current use of small batches, high-frequency storage, is conducive to stabilizing market sentiment. Du Shuaibing, a rare earth analyst at Baichuan Information, said that the Rare Earth National Reserve plan should be fully implemented before the end of 2017. It plans to store 15550 tons of rare earth, and only 4470 tons have been won, and 11080 tons have not been completed. This means that the rare earth national reserve plan will be completed before the end of the year, and 11080 tons of rare earths will be stored in the next 8 months, with an average of 1,385 tons per month.
In addition, "black" is normalized. In December last year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other eight departments jointly issued a special campaign to crack down on rare earth violations from December 2016 to April 2017. Ren Zhiqiang said that unlike the previous two "blackening", this time emphasizes normalization and institutionalization, and the goal is more clear, that is, cracking down on the black rare earth industrial chain and strictly controlling the production of rare earth smelting and separation. At the same time, it is clear that the six major rare earth groups are not allowed to involve black rare earths and promote the construction of rare earth traceability systems.
According to industry insiders, since 2016, the management ideas of the rare earth industry have changed, and the combination of punches has been frequent. As production quotas become more concentrated, the frequency of collection and storage increases and the scope of “blackening†is comprehensive and in-depth, which will promote the supply-side reform of the rare earth industry and change the ecology of the rare earth industry.
The rare earth market is gradually picking up
The rare earth market began to pick up under the push of policy combination and downstream demand.
On April 6, the North Rare Earth announced the listing price of rare earth products in April, and the price of major rare earth products was raised by about 2%. On April 24, the Southern Rare Earth Group announced the listing price of rare earth products this week. The cerium oxide increased by 40,000 yuan/ton from last week, the cerium oxide increased by 100,000 yuan/ton, and the cerium oxide increased by 50,000 yuan/ton.
Du Shuaibing told the China Securities Journal that the light rare earth alliance, which is dominated by rare earths in the north, hangs out the price of light rare earths every month, and has played a positive role in regulating the price of light rare earths. The listing price of the Southern Rare Earth Group is jointly negotiated by five other rare earth groups outside the North Rare Earth Group. The external sales price of the five major rare earth groups should not be lower than this price, which has a positive effect on regulating the medium and heavy rare earth market. At present, the price of most rare earth commodities has increased by 10%-20% compared with the lowest price in 2016.
Li Dianqing, director of the Board of Directors of Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange, told reporters that as of April 24, China's rare earth price index was 1140.67 points, up 14% since the index went online on October 31 last year. At the same time as the price increases, the spot transaction is active. In 2016, the cumulative transaction volume of Baotou Rare Earth Products Exchange reached 136.356 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 468.5%; the transaction volume was 580,500 tons, an increase of 154.9%. In the first quarter of this year, the cumulative transaction volume reached 27.11 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.4 times.
According to industry insiders, the second quarter is the traditional demand season for rare earths, and most market participants are optimistic about the market outlook. Stimulated by the multiple benefits of the national reserve and demand, the market is slowly picking up. Especially in the NdFeB industry continues to be driven by good momentum, the possibility of large fluctuations in rare earth prices in the second quarter is unlikely, and it is expected to remain relatively high.
At present, there are five listed companies of NdFeB in China: Zhongke Sanhuan, Yinhe Magnet, Zhenghai Magnetic Materials, Ningbo Yunsheng and Yingluohua. The five listed companies handed in a brilliant annual report in 2016, and the published results for the first quarter of 2017 are also more than happy.
Among them, Zhongke Sanhuan achieved a net profit of 317 million yuan in 2016, a year-on-year increase of 15.22%; net profit in the first quarter of 2017 was 72.69 million yuan, an increase of 16.16%. In 2016, Galaxy Magnet achieved a net profit of 116 million yuan, an increase of 27.3% year-on-year; the net profit for the first quarter of 2017 was 29.913 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.11%. Zhenghai Magnetic Materials achieved a net profit of 191 million yuan in 2016, a year-on-year increase of 21.06%. Ningbo Yunsheng achieved a net profit of 800 million yuan in 2016, a year-on-year increase of 134.78%. In 2006, Yingluo achieved a net profit of 34.58 million yuan, turning losses into profit; net profit in the first quarter of 2017 was 144.916 million, down 10.95% year-on-year.
According to industry insiders, thanks to the rapid growth of demand for wind power, new energy vehicles, energy-efficient and high-efficiency motors, the annual average growth rate of global NdFeB production in 2010-2015 is 9.2%, of which, from 2014 to 2015. Faster, about 10%-20%. It is predicted that the global production of NdFeB in 2016 should be between 15 and 160,000 tons. In 2017, global NdFeB production is expected to be between 17-18 million tons.
To the high-end development
Overcapacity is urging rare earth enterprises to seek new ways of development, implementing technological innovation, developing and producing high-end rare earth new materials, and taking high-end product routes have become important choices.
Lu Zhongshan, the chief engineer of Ningbo Baogang Exhibition Materials Co., Ltd., said that rare earth enterprises have produced a large number of by-products such as bismuth. Niobium is the most abundant rare earth element, accounting for 50% of rare earths, but its use is relatively small. At the same time of the rapid development of the NdFeB industry, it has caused a series of problems such as a large backlog of rare earth lanthanum and environmental pollution. Under this circumstance, the company introduced a new preparation technology of neodymium magnets and successfully realized industrial production.
"The advantages of NdFeB magnets are to further increase the coercivity of the magnets, reduce the production cost of the magnets, improve the flexural strength, and have better corrosion resistance." Lu Zhongshan said, "From a national perspective, the use of plutonium has been solved. The balanced utilization of rare earth resources can be realized; from the industrial level, the rare earth permanent magnet industry with independent intellectual property rights is formed, which drives the technological progress and innovation of upstream and downstream industries, promotes the transformation of industries to resource-saving and technological innovation, and enhances the core of enterprises. Competitiveness."
According to industry insiders, the new neodymium magnet industry has begun to take shape, and its products are widely used in electroacoustics, packaging, toys and other fields. In the future, the annual demand for neodymium magnets can reach more than 50,000 tons, and the products are expected to continue to expand in the middle and high-end fields such as drive machines and nuclear magnetic resonance.
In October 2016, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the “Rare Earth Industry Development Plan (2016-2020)â€, which proposed that the annual output of major rare earth functional materials will increase by 15% annually by 2020. Wang Zhongshan, an expert consultant of China Rare Earth Industry Association, said that in order to achieve this goal, the rare earth industry should increase the amount of rare earth permanent magnet materials in high-end equipment manufacturing, new energy vehicles, new energy, high-performance medical equipment, etc.; It has broad application prospects in high-performance power batteries, large-scale energy storage devices, and heat storage materials for solar power generation. With the improvement of environmental protection requirements, industrial furnace kiln exhaust gas denitration, motor vehicle exhaust gas purification, volatile organic compound treatment and other fields can provide more market space for rare earth catalytic materials.
The scale of China's rare earth application industry continues to expand. The annual output of rare earth magnetism and catalytic materials increased by more than 15%, and the production of main functional materials such as rare earth magnetism, luminescence and hydrogen storage accounted for more than 70% of the global total.
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The reporter learned from the 2017 China Rare Earth Industry Chain Market Symposium that with the further concentration of rare earth production quotas, the normalization of illegal rare earth mining, the downstream demand will increase steadily under the decline of upstream production capacity, and the price of rare earth will gradually start to rebound. There is recovery...
The reporter learned from the 2017 China Rare Earth Industry Chain Market Symposium that with the further concentration of rare earth production quotas to combat the normalization of illegal rare earth mining, downstream demand has increased steadily in the case of a decline in upstream production capacity, and rare earth prices have gradually begun to rebound, and the industry has emerged. Signs of recovery.